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Week 14 Mega-Breakdown

by Justin Hume (JibJab)

This week went extremely well for the most part. Usually the first week of a new contest has very low numbers (mostly because everyone has to pick a WR... and we haven't weeded out the people who aren't very good). This week however the overall success rate was 71.5%, one of the highest of the year. Last week was just 58%.

Survival Rates
QB - 63% (last week: 95%)
RB - 92% (last week: 12%)
WR - 39% (last week: 71%)
TE - 83% (last week: 81%)
Off - 59% (last week: 71%)
Def - 97% (last week: 22%)

Defense was remarkably easy after being the second most difficult last week. WRs have been not quite impossible the last 2 weeks which is a nice change of pace.

Now let's take a look at all the survivors and how often they were selected.

Surviving QBs
1. Drew Brees - 34.2%
2. Philip Rivers - 10.1%
3. Peyton Manning - 7.3%
4. Matt Schaub - 5.8%
5. Tony Romo - 2.5%
6. Donovan McNabb - 2.0%
7. Joe Flacco - 1.0%
8. Matt Hasselbeck - 0.2%
9. Eli Manning - 0.2%
10. Kyle Orton - 0.0%
11. Jason Campbell - 0.0%
12. Chad Henne - 0.0%
13. Jay Cutler - 0.0%

No one wanted to roll with Cutlah huh?

Surviving RBs
1. Chris Johnson - 46.2%
2. Ray Rice - 15.5%
3. Maurice Jones-Drew - 10.1%
4. Adrian Peterson - 8.2%
5. Jamaal Charles - 6.8%
6. Frank Gore - 2.3%
7. Thomas Jones - 1.7%
8. Ricky Williams - 0.8%
9. Reggie Bush - 0.0%
10. Willis McGahee - 0.0%
11. Kevin Faulk - 0.0%
12. Ryan Grant - 0.0%
13. Ahmad Bradshaw - 0.0%
14. Chris Wells - 0.0%
 
This is one of the highest pick percentages of the year with nearly half the teams going with Chris Johnson.

Surviving WRs
1. Andre Johnson - 34.9%
2. Miles Austin - 1.2%
3. DeSean Jackson - 1.2%
4. Derrick Mason - 0.6%
5. Brandon Marshall - 0.6%
6. Steve Smith - 0.0%
7. Michael Jenkins - 0.0%
8. Domenik Hixon - 0.0%
9. Hakeem Nicks - 0.0%
10. Michael Crabtree - 0.0%

Only 10 survivors at WR, but Andre Johnson blew up and took care of about 1/3 of the FantasyWorld universe this week.

Surviving TEs
1. Antonio Gates - 34.1%
2. Vernon Davis - 20.5%
3. Dallas Clark - 16.0%
4. Tony Gonzalez - 4.7%
5. Heath Miller - 2.7%
6. Brent Celek - 2.7%
7. Jermichael Finley - 1.5%
8. Fred Davis - 0.2%
9. Kevin Boss - 0.2%
10. John Carlson - 0.0%
11. Randy McMichael - 0.0%
12. Alge Crumpler - 0.0%

The top 3 TE choices were all successful this week and made up over 70% of all TE picks.


Surviving Offenses
1. New Orleans Saints - 20.9%
2. Tennessee Titans - 13.2%
3. Baltimore Ravens - 12.4%
4. Indianapolis Colts - 6.7%
5. Houston Texans - 3.4%
6. Minnesota Vikings - 2.4%
7. New York Giants - 0.2%
8. San Francisco 49ers - 0.2%
9. Philadelphia Eagles - 0.0%
10. Atlanta Falcons - 0.0%
11. Washington Redskins - 0.0%
12. New York Jets - 0.0%
 
No ultra-popular picks on offense this week, but quite a few of the top picks made it through.

Surviving Defenses
1. Baltimore Ravens - 29.5%
2. Pittsburgh Steelers - 28.8%
3. Tennessee Titans - 13.2%
4. Buffalo Bills - 4.6%
5. Minnesota Vikings - 4.1%
6. New England Patriots - 3.8%
7. Washington Redskins - 3.6%
8. New York Jets - 3.4%
9. Indianapolis Colts - 2.6%
10. Green Bay Packers - 2.6%
11. Cleveland Browns - 0.2%
12. Kansas City Chiefs - 0.2%
13. San Francisco 49ers - 0.0%
14. Houston Texans - 0.0%
15. San Diego Chargers - 0.0%
16. Miami Dolphins - 0.0%
17. Jacksonville Jaguars - 0.0%
 
You almost had to try to fail at defense this week to not get it right.

Let's look at the biggest let-downs from the week.

Popular QB failures
1. Aaron Rodgers - 11.0%
2. Kurt Warner - 7.3%
3. Ben Roethlisberger - 5.8%
 
Popular RB failures
1. Rashard Mendenhall - 3.7%
2. Joseph Addai - 1.1%
3. Steven Jackson - 1.1%

 
Mendenhall was actually the most popular survivor at RB last week.

Popular WR failures
1. Larry Fitzgerald - 22.2%
2. Reggie Wayne - 6.5%
3. Marques Colston - 5.9%

You can't really blame Fitz; it's tough to meet the threshold when you don't play the whole game.
 
Popular TE failures
1. Jason Witten - 13.3%
2. Kellen Winslow - 1.5%
3. Jeremy Shockey - 0.7%
 
Popular Off failures
1. New England Patriots - 21.1%
2. Arizona Cardinals - 5.9%
3. Dallas Cowboys - 5.5%

That's now 3 straight weeks of the Pats being the biggest let-down. Ouch.
 
Popular Def failures
1. New Orleans Saints - 1.0%
2. Oakland Raiders - 0.7%
3. Philadelphia Eagles - 0.5%

The Raiders being the 2nd most popular failure is pretty funny.

That's it for this week. Let me know if there are other stats you'd like to see me breakdown for you next Tuesday. Good luck in Week 15, only 3 weeks to go!